BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 43 Conference: (9-7-0) Overall: (14-24-0) Overall Strength =   23.17

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Away    L    23.88  10  11   4A  39 (12-23) Burlington              0.79     -1.79                      
  2 05/22/2012 Away    W    30.88   7   1   4A  39 (12-23) Burlington              7.79     -1.79                      
  3 05/24/2012 Home    L    19.40   4  14   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis       -3.69     -6.31                      
  4 05/24/2012 Home    L    25.40   5   9   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis        2.31     -6.31                      
  5 05/26/2012 Home    L    26.49   4   6   4A  25 (18-20) Davenport West          3.40     -5.40                      
  6 05/26/2012 Home    W    31.49   7   4   4A  25 (18-20) Davenport West          8.40     -5.40                      
  7 05/29/2012 Away    L    14.48   0  14   4A  22 (19-18) Bettendorf             -8.61     -5.39                      
  8 05/29/2012 Away    L    26.48   4   6   4A  22 (19-18) Bettendorf              3.39     -5.39                      
  9 06/02/2012 Away    L    19.48   0  10   3A   5 (26-13) Davenport Assumption   -3.61     -6.39                      
 10 06/02/2012 Away    L    23.48   3   9   3A   5 (26-13) Davenport Assumption    0.39     -6.39                      
 11 06/04/2012 Away    L *  21.73   2   3   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield              -1.36      0.36                      
 12 06/04/2012 Away    L *  20.73   6   8   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield              -2.36      0.36                      
 13 06/07/2012 Away    L    10.47   5  12   2A  74 (16-12) Central Lee           -12.61      5.61                      
 14 06/09/2012 Unknown L    19.87   1  17   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -3.22 *  -12.78                      
 15 06/09/2012 Unknown L    26.01   7  12   4A  10 (29-12) Marion Linn-Mar         2.93     -7.93                      
 16 06/11/2012 Home    W *  20.68   5   4   3A  60 (13-26) Keokuk                 -2.41      3.41                      
 17 06/11/2012 Home    W *  25.68   9   3   3A  60 (13-26) Keokuk                  2.59      3.41                      
 18 06/14/2012 Home    W *  28.33   7   4   3A  31 (22-15) Washington              5.24     -2.24                      
 19 06/14/2012 Home    L *  18.33   3  10   3A  31 (22-15) Washington             -4.76     -2.24                      
 20 06/18/2012 Away    W *  31.69  13   8   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          8.60     -3.60                      
 21 06/18/2012 Away    L *  10.69   0  16   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant        -12.40     -3.60                      
 22 06/22/2012 Home    L    18.31   5  15   4A  26 (18-22) Davenport North        -4.77     -5.23                      
 23 06/22/2012 Home    L    12.31   0  16   4A  26 (18-22) Davenport North       -10.77     -5.23                      
 24 06/23/2012 Unknown W    24.59  11   4   2A  74 (16-12) Central Lee             1.50      5.50                      
 25 06/23/2012 Away    W    28.75  18   4   1A  88 (13-14) Notre Dame              5.66      8.34                      
 26 06/25/2012 Home    L *  21.96   3   4   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield              -1.12      0.12                      
 27 06/25/2012 Home    W *  23.96   8   7   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield               0.88      0.12                      
 28 06/26/2012 Away    L    20.47   3  13   4A  13 (26-12) Muscatine              -2.61     -7.39                      
 29 06/26/2012 Away    L    15.47   1  16   4A  13 (26-12) Muscatine              -7.61     -7.39                      
 30 06/29/2012 Away    L    24.68   0   6   4A  11 (31- 9) Eldridge North Scott    1.60     -7.60                      
 31 07/02/2012 Away    W *  28.45   9   0   3A  60 (13-26) Keokuk                  5.36      3.64                      
 32 07/05/2012 Home    W *  29.92  10   7   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          6.83     -3.83                      
 33 07/05/2012 Home    W *  32.92  13   7   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          9.83     -3.83                      
 34 07/06/2012 Away    L    20.99   0   4   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville            -2.10     -1.90                      
 35 07/06/2012 Away    W    25.99   7   6   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville             2.90     -1.90                      
 36 07/09/2012 Away    W *  26.09   2   1   3A  31 (22-15) Washington              3.01     -2.01                      
 37 07/09/2012 Away    L *  22.09   2   5   3A  31 (22-15) Washington             -0.99     -2.01                      
 38 07/13/2012 Away    L *  24.69   3   5   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          1.60     -3.60                      
      Averages              23.09   5.2  7.9

Best game:   32.92 = 6 point win over Mount Pleasant
Worst game:  10.47 = 7 point loss to Donnellson Central Lee
Team stdev:   5.64